I roto i te karanga whiwhinga moni, i kī te Tumu Whakarae o Tesla, a Elon Musk: "Ki te keri koe i te nikara i runga i te huarahi whai hua me te aro ki te taiao, ka nui te kirimana ka tukuna e Tesla." E matapaetia ana e te kaitātari Amerikana, a Wood Mackenzie, i roto i ngā tau tekau, ka whakakapia e te lithium rino phosphate (LFP) te lithium manganese cobalt oxide (NMC) hei rauemi matū matua mō te rokiroki pūngao tūmau.

Heoi, kua roa a Musk e tautoko ana i te tangohanga o te konukōre mai i te pākahiko, nō reira, kāore pea tēnei rongo i te kino katoa mōna.

E ai ki ngā raraunga a Wood Mackenzie, ko ngā pākahiko lithium rino phosphate (LFP) te 10% o te mākete rokiroki pūngao tūmau i te tau 2015. Mai i taua wā, kua piki ake te rongonui o ēnei pākahiko, ā, ka neke atu i te 30% o te mākete ka nohoia e rātou i te tau 2030.

I tīmata tēnei pikinga nā te korenga o ngā pākahiko me ngā wāhanga NMC i te mutunga o te tau 2018 me te tīmatanga o te tau kua hipa. Nā te tere o te whakatinanatanga o ngā waka rokiroki pūngao tūmau me ngā waka hiko (ev), ko te meka e rite ana te matū o ngā pākahiko i waenganui i ngā rāngai e rua kua tino puta ai te korenga.

I mea atu a Mitalee Gupta, te kaitātari matua o Wood Mackenzie: "Nā te roa o te huringa tuku a te NMC me te utu pumau, kua tīmata ngā kaiwhakarato LFP ki te tomo ki te mākete kua herea e te NMC i te utu whakataetae, nō reira he mea ātaahua te LFP i roto i ngā tono hiko me te pūngao."

Ko tētahi āhuatanga e akiaki ana i te mana nui o te LFP ko te rerekētanga i waenga i te momo pākahiko e whakamahia ana mō te rokiroki pūngao me te momo pākahiko e whakamahia ana i roto i ngā waka hiko, nā te mea ka pāngia ngā taputapu e te auahatanga me te tohungatanga anō.

He iti haere ngā hua o te pūnaha rokiroki pūngao lithium-ion o nāianei, ā, he iti hoki ngā painga ōhanga ina neke atu te huringa i te 4-6 hāora, nō reira me tere te penapena pūngao mō te wā roa. I kī a Gupta e matapaetia ana hoki e ia ko te kaha whakaora nui me te auau teitei ka nui ake i te kiato pūngao me te pono o te mākete rokiroki pūngao tūmau, e rua ngā mea ka taea e ngā pākahiko LFP te tiaho.

Ahakoa kāore te tipu o te LFP i roto i te mākete pākahiko waka hiko i te tino nui pērā i te ao rokiroki pūngao tūmau, i tohu te pūrongo a Wood Mackenzie kāore e taea te wareware i ngā tono pūkoro hiko e whakaatu ana i te phosphate rino lithium.

Kua tino rongonui kē tēnei matū i te mākete waka hiko o Haina, ā, e matapaetia ana ka rongonui puta noa i te ao. E matapaetia ana e WoodMac, tae noa ki te tau 2025, ka nui ake i te 20% o ngā pākahiko waka hiko katoa kua tāutahia te LFP.

I kī te kairangahau matua o Wood Mackenzie, a Milan Thakore, ko te tino kaupapa matua mō te whakamahinga o te LFP i roto i te mara o ngā waka hiko ka ahu mai i te whakapainga o te matū e pā ana ki te taumaha, te mātotoru o te pūngao me te hangarau tākai pākahiko.